Looking twenty or more years ahead, it is more robust to consider not just a single forecast, but a range of potential scenarios for how air transport in Europe, and the factors influencing it, might develop.
This forecast uses four scenarios to explore the future of the aviation and the risks that lie ahead: Global Growth, Regulation and Growth (most-likely), Happy Localism and Fragmenting World. Each scenario has different input assumptions: economic growth, fuel prices, load factors, hub-and-spoke versus point-to-point etc. This leads to different volumes of traffic, and different underlying patterns of growth: long- versus short-haul, rates of up-gauging of aircraft, etc.
Learn more in the full report.