Forecasting

We regularly publish reports, plans and forecasts highlighting air transport statistics and trends. Our European Aviation Overview, previously known as the Comprehensive Aviation Assessment, provides a detailed snapshot of the latest Network trends. It uses the latest traffic data to show how States, airports and airlines are performing, with further analysis of market segments, fuel prices, and delays. We publish it on a bi-weekly basis.

Our medium-term forecast gives a comprehensive picture of anticipated air traffic development in Europe, generally for the next seven years. It combines flight statistics with economic growth and models of other industry drivers, including passenger demand evolution, load factors, aircraft size, and airport capacity constraints. Using high- and low-growth scenarios, a likely range for growth is presented, to help planners manage risks. Medium-term forecasts are published twice a year, covering flights, en-route and terminal service units.

Our long-term forecast presents possible scenarios on how the air traffic industry might look in 30 years and includes estimates of net CO₂ emissions. This allows a range of 'what if?' questions to be explored, for factors inside the industry (e.g. the growth of business aviation, or of point-to-point traffic) or outside (e.g. the price of oil, or environmental constraints). Long-term forecasts are published on an ad-hoc basis.