Forecasting

Looking ahead together to prepare
for future traffic.

About

We work with stakeholders to produce a shared forecast of future network traffic. This helps planners understand and manage risks, identify bottlenecks and anticipate the needs of airspace users.

Products

Trends

Our Industry Monitor is a regular briefing for States and organisations representing air transport and related industries. It covers matters of relevance for understanding air transport statistics or preparing air transport forecasts. The Industry Monitor is produced around ten times per year. We also produce ad-hoc publications, like our Challenges of growth report, trends in air traffic studies and other analyses. These and more can be found in our library.

7-year forecasts

Our 7-year forecasts give a comprehensive picture of anticipated air traffic development in Europe for the next seven years. They combine flight statistics with economic growth and models of other industry drivers, including costs, airport capacity, passengers, load factors and aircraft size. Using high- and low-growth scenarios, a likely range for growth is presented, to help planners manage risks. We publish them biannually, covering flights, en-route and terminal service units. 
The EUROCONTROL Seven-year Forecast of Flight Movements and Service Units will be next published mid-October 2019.

20-year forecasts

Our 20-year forecasts look at distinct possible scenarios for how the air traffic industry might look in 20 years' time. This allows a range of ‘what if?’ questions to be explored, for factors inside the industry (e.g. the growth of business aviation, or of point-to-point traffic) or outside (e.g. the price of oil, or environmental constraints). Long-term forecasts are published approximately every two years. We also produce special forecasts such as our Challenges of growth report.

Forecast of air traffic to and over Europe

This forecast is based on data gathered in February 2019 (for the 2019 - 2025 period) and October 2018 (for the 2025 - 2040 period)

source: statfor

Tools

SID

STATFOR interactive dashboard

STATFOR user group workspace

Latest deliverables

Industry Monitor - July 2019

Industry Monitor - June 2019

Industry Monitor - May 2019

Industry Monitor - April 2019

Industry Monitor - March 2019