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In the PHARE programme a major concern was the accuracy of meteorological forecasting and the effect that this would have on modelling and implementation of aircraft trajectories. For this reason research was undertaken on the provision of an experimental short-term wind forecasting model.
This work was carried out by the UK MET Office and Meteo France, through the PHARE partners CAA/NATS and CENA respectively.
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The project succeeded in developing a numerical prediction program, which uses a standard weather forecast as a back plane, and updated it in real-time using aircraft derived downlinked data to achieve an improved “now-cast”.
The prediction program was tested using recorded aircraft data with very promising results.
It is noteworthy that the higher the traffic density and the more downlinked data available, the better the “now-cast” prediction will be. The model was seen as a potential solution for future implementation.
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The Meteo project is documented in the following:
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