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Aero 2k

The Aero2K project, which is an EC Fifth Framework Programme project, will develop a new global inventory of emissions and fuel usage from aviation for the year 2001/02 and a forecast for the year 2025.

Description

This EC Fifth Framework Programme project will develop a new global inventory of emissions and fuel usage from aviation for the year 2001/02 and a forecast for the year 2025. Such an emission database is an essential tool for both policy makers and scientists, and this inventory will supply data that are not currently available.

EUROCONTROL (EEC) will manage Work Package 2-Construction of an Air traffic movements database which will collect data on civil and military aircraft movements across the world. Co-operation is already assured with the FAA. Particular studies of regions such as China and Russia for domestic aircraft movements will be made, where there is known to be a paucity of data. For parts of the world where high quality ATC data are not available, movement data will be based on analysis of the OAG world timetable. However, this will be refined through an innovative statistical model approach, which will endeavour to model additional movements not captured within the OAG data.

Context

This European Commission Fifth Framework Programme project will develop a new global inventory of fuel usage and emissions from aviation for the year 2002 and a forecast for the year 2025. Such an emission database is an essential tool for both policy makers and scientists, and this inventory will supply data that are not currently available.

The recent context for this work is the report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 1999)-'Aviation and the Global Atmosphere'. This report assessed the current and projected impacts of aviation on the atmosphere in the context of climate change.

The regulatory and policy communities can only understand emissions when they are quantified and allocated to their originator(s).

Thus, the database that will be generated from this work here is essential for policy and regulatory purposes and in assessment modelling, without which, climate change impacts can neither be properly understood, nor quantified.

Objectives

Within AERO2K objective, Eurocontrol task is to co-ordinate Work-Package 2 (WP2) which consists of developing a global civil and military aircraft movements database for the year 2002. Based on real routing and flight plan data, WP2 will provide 4-D flight trajectories (latitude, longitude, altitude and time) in order for project partners to calculate fuel consumption and emissions.

Approach

The general approach that will be taken in compiling the air traffic movement database is to use ATC data where available as a primary source and augment this with timetable data where ATC data are unavailable. Known ATC sources include the ECAC region and the North American region (via FAA). A collaboration between AERO2K and SAGE, the current global emission model developed by FAA for the USA, has been introduced. This constitutes the bulk of global air traffic movements.It is also wished to carry out region-specific studies of China and FSU. Another initiative is to use the ICAO structure to distribute a data survey, first to the ICAO regional offices and then to air traffic management authorities in the countries of those regions. This method will enable data requests to reach the air traffic management authorities in South America, Africa and Asia.

Six days of data will be collected in the world over 2002 in order to include diurnal and seasonal variation in air traffic. To supplement the collection of data, schedule data from Back Aviation database will also be used. And, to extend the coverage of the data to other days of the year, virtual days will be created based on the inventories realized for the six days and trends obtained from Back Aviation schedule database. The various format and origin of the data implies developing a tool that will allow the automatic import of the data, their analysis, their merge and the storage of the final inventory. A prototype tool has been developed in Access, it will be implemented this coming year in Oracle and extended to all collected data.

Expected Results

This will allow, for the first time, a robust calculation of real fuel and emissions at the world scale versus those from assumed flight-levels and great-circle distances.

Contact

For more information, contact:
Ted Elliff
Email: 
 
  Author:
Last validation: 23/07/2007