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Trajectory Prediction

Co-operation in Development of Common Trajectory Prediction Capabilities


The availability of consistent representation of predicted flight path data is paramount to achieve interoperability and consistency between the ATM Decision Support Tools (DSTs) in particular and ATM systems in general.

The process of Trajectory Prediction is a kernel function in Flight Data Processing Systems and the ATM tools that provide controller and system support. Therefore it is not surprising that the design, the data structures used internally and, to some extent, the actual performance reports are protected by the Intellectual Property Rights of the developers and system integrators.

To a certain extent, this situation blocks the efficient progress of the introduction of more advanced system support and controller tools to improve the ATM system efficiency towards the ATM2000+ objectives.


It is expected to be in the interest of everyone involved in this field to improve the trajectory predictor capability and to agree on a common functionality.

In June 2003 the FAA/Eurocontrol R&D Committee in their RDCOM26 meeting recommended that the work on a Common Trajectory Prediction Capability should go forward ASAP. A white paper describing the joint US/Europe activities on TP was agreed at RDCOM27 in November 2003. In RDCOM28 (March 04/Miami) the RD committee decided to launch a new Action Plan 16: Common Trajectory Prediction Capabilities.

  Acrobat White paper
During the 2nd Technical Interchange Meeting on Trajectory Prediction in Bretigny, October 2003, it was concluded that European coordination in the area of Trajectory Prediction (TP) would be of interest in order to provide contributions to the Action Plan 16 work. To that effect it was proposed to initiate a TP action under the CARE umbrella. Eurocontrol volunteered to draft a work plan which was discussed at a kick-off meeting on 3 March 2004.

These web pages will be used to present the main results to the outside world.

A OneSky Team on Common Trajectory Prediction Initiative has been set up to promote the efficient exchange of information among the TP experts. The portal comprises a section with a “public” part where the members can follow the progress on the different action points, from which they can down-load analysis tools and publications and a test version of the Reference Validation Database.

  HTML OneSky Team